Death map of the world


Millions of people in the UK and US are dying before they turn 70, a major report has revealed today.

Scientists analysed the number of deaths from cancer, heart disease, lung disease and diabetes across 180 countries.

They calculated the probability of a 30-year-old man and woman dying before they turn 70 in each of the nations.

In a league table of the countries, the UK only ranked 17th best for men and 27th for women. And the US fared even worse, placing 53rd for men and 44th for women. Australia fared better, ranked 7th best for men and 8th for women.

The report, published in the Lancet, is one of the most detailed global studies of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in history.

In a league table of the countries, the UK only ranked 17th best for men and 27th for women. And the US fared even worse, placing 53rd for men and 44th for women

In a league table of the countries, the UK only ranked 17th best for men and 27th for women. And the US fared even worse, placing 53rd for men and 44th for women

In a league table of the countries, the UK only ranked 17th best for men and 27th for women. And the US fared even worse, placing 53rd for men and 44th for women

Imperial College London scientists say men and women in most countries around the world now have a higher chance of dying young from NCDs than HIV. 

They found a 30-year-old woman in the UK has a nine per cent chance of dying by the time they turn 70 from one of the four major NCDs.

Eighteen European countries, including Spain, Portugal, Switzerland and Italy, were shown to have a lower risk.

South Korea topped the table, with women having a 4.7 per cent chance of dying from an NCD before their landmark birthday.

At the other end of the scale for women, the probability of an early death for those in Sierra Leone is 32.6 per cent.

The global report also revealed a 30-year-old man in the UK has a 13 per cent chance of dying before the age of 70 from an NCD. 

Revealed: The 10 nations which have the highest probability of men and women dying from a major NCD before they turn 70
WORST (men) COUNTRY PROBABILITY (%) WORST (women) COUNTRY PROBABILITY (%)
1 Mongolia 38.8 1 Sierra Leone 32.6
2 Fiji 36.8 2 Cote d’Ivoire 30.1
3 Kazakhstan 36.8 3 Guyana 28.8
4 Turkmenistan 36.7 4 Yemen 28.2
5 Russian Federation 36.5 5 Afghanistan 27.7
6 Belarus 35.2 6 Papua New Guinea 26.6
7 Ukraine 35.1 7 Mali 26.2
8 Georgia 34.9 8 Lesotho 25.2
9 Kiribati 34.4 9 Haiti 25
10 North Korea 34.4 10 Lao PDR 24.9

Iceland topped the table, with men in the country having a 9.9 per cent chance of dying prematurely.

By comparison, Mongolia was by far the worst offender (38.8 per cent) for men, researchers revealed.

Professor Majid Ezzati, who led the study, said: ‘NCDs are the main cause of premature death for most countries.

‘Poverty, uncontrolled marketing of alcohol and tobacco by multinational industries, and weak health care systems are making chronic diseases a larger danger to human health than traditional foes such as bacteria and viruses.’

Concerned experts have now warned most nations are falling short of UN targets to cut the number of premature deaths from NCDs.

Nearly 41 million people each year die from the diseases, which is the equivalent of one in seven deaths across the world.

Around 17 million, or 41 per cent, of these deaths are considered premature – happening before the age of 70.

The UN three years ago asked nations to cut the number of premature deaths from the four key NCDs by 2030.

But only 35 countries are on track to meet the target for women and only 30 countries for men, according to the new study.

Some of those countries on track to meet the UN target for both men and women include Denmark, New Zealand, Norway and South Korea.

Revealed: The 10 nations which have the loweest probability of men and women dying from a major NCD before they turn 70
BEST (men) COUNTRY PROBABILITY (%) BEST (women) COUNTRY PROBABILITY (%)
1 Iceland 9.9 1 South Korea 4.7
2 Switzerland 10.6 2 Japan 5.7
3 Sweden 10.7 3 Spain 6.4
4 Norway 10.7 4 Switzerland 6.6
5 Bahrain 10.9 5 Singapore 6.9
6 South Korea 10.9 6 Portugal 7
7 Australia 11 7 Italy 7.2
8 Japan 11.2 8 Australia 7.2
9 Canada 11.5 9 Finland 7.2
10 New Zealand 11.6 10 France 7.2

By comparison, the UK, Australia, France, Germany, India and China will fail to hit the target for both sexes, if current trends continue.

According to the analysis, the situation is deteriorating or stagnating in 15 countries for women, including the US, and 24 for men. 

The report also involved scientists from the World Health Organization and NCD Alliance.

Katie Dain, from the NCD Alliance, said: ‘We are sleepwalking into a sick future because of severely inadequate progress on non-communicable diseases.’

Professor Ezzati warned ‘much of the world is falling short of the UN target to alleviate the burden of chronic diseases’.

But he added: ‘Dozens of countries could meet this goal with modest acceleration of already-favourable trends.

‘This requires national governments and international donors to invest in the right set of policies.’

Professor Ezzati argued treatment of hypertension and slashing rates of smoking and alcohol use could prevent millions of deaths.

But he warned there is also a need for affordable high-quality care to diagnose and treat chronic diseases as early as possible. 

SO, HOW DOES YOUR COUNTRY RANK OUT OF THE 180? 
Female Probability of dying between 30 and 70 years of age from NCD4 (SDG target 3.4) Male Probability of dying between 30 and 70 years of age from NCD4 (SDG target 3.4)
Country Level in 2016 SDG target 3.4 expected to be met Level in 2016 SDG target 3.4 expected to be met
Afghanistan 27.7% Target met after 2040 31.8% Target met after 2040
Albania 13.1% Target met 2031 – 2040 20.7% Target met 2031 – 2040
Algeria 13.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 15.2% Target met after 2040
Angola 16.0% Target met 2031 – 2040 17.2% Target met after 2040
Antigua and Barbuda 20.0% Stagnating or deteriorating 25.2% Stagnating or deteriorating
Argentina 12.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 19.7% Target met by 2030
Armenia 15.0% Target met by 2030 30.9% Target met 2031 – 2040
Australia 7.2% Target met after 2040 11.0% Target met 2031 – 2040
Austria 8.5% Target met after 2040 14.4% Target met 2031 – 2040
Azerbaijan 16.1% Target met by 2030 28.7% Target met after 2040
Bahamas 12.7% Target met 2031 – 2040 18.6% Target met 2031 – 2040
Bahrain 11.9% Target met by 2030 10.9% Target met by 2030
Bangladesh 20.4% Target met after 2040 22.6% Stagnating or deteriorating
Barbados 12.9% Target met 2031 – 2040 19.7% Target met 2031 – 2040
Belarus 13.8% Target met by 2030 35.2% Target met by 2030
Belgium 8.6% Target met 2031 – 2040 14.1% Target met by 2030
Belize 18.5% Target met 2031 – 2040 25.5% Target met after 2040
Benin 19.3% Target met after 2040 19.9% Target met after 2040
Bhutan 24.9% Target met after 2040 21.9% Target met after 2040
Bolivia 16.8% Target met 2031 – 2040 17.7% Target met after 2040
Bosnia and Herzegovina 12.9% Target met by 2030 23.1% Target met by 2030
Botswana 17.9% Target met 2031 – 2040 23.4% Target met 2031 – 2040
Brazil 13.5% Target met by 2030 20.0% Target met by 2030
Brunei Darussalam 14.8% Target met after 2040 18.5% Target met after 2040
Bulgaria 15.5% Target met after 2040 32.0% Target met after 2040
Burkina Faso 21.2% Target met after 2040 22.5% Target met after 2040
Burundi 22.7% Target met after 2040 23.1% Stagnating or deteriorating
Cabo Verde 15.9% Target met after 2040 19.0% Target met after 2040
Cambodia 19.1% Target met after 2040 23.9% Target met after 2040
Cameroon 20.9% Target met after 2040 22.3% Target met after 2040
Canada 8.1% Target met 2031 – 2040 11.5% Target met by 2030
Central African Republic 22.4% Target met after 2040 23.9% Target met after 2040
Chad 23.7% Target met after 2040 24.2% Target met after 2040
Chile 10.1% Target met 2031 – 2040 14.8% Target met after 2040
China 14.1% Target met after 2040 19.8% Target met after 2040
Colombia 13.5% Target met 2031 – 2040 18.3% Target met after 2040
Comoros 21.2% Target met after 2040 24.8% Target met after 2040
Congo 17.4% Target met by 2030 15.9% Target met 2031 – 2040
Costa Rica 9.4% Target met by 2030 13.7% Target met 2031 – 2040
Cote d’Ivoire 30.1% Stagnating or deteriorating 28.2% Stagnating or deteriorating
Croatia 10.7% Target met by 2030 22.8% Target met 2031 – 2040
Cuba 13.8% Target met after 2040 19.0% Target met after 2040
Cyprus 7.5% Target met after 2040 15.2% Stagnating or deteriorating
Czech Republic 10.2% Target met by 2030 20.0% Target met by 2030
Denmark 9.5% Target met by 2030 13.1% Target met by 2030
Djibouti 18.2% Stagnating or deteriorating 21.2% Stagnating or deteriorating
Dominican Republic 16.5% Target met after 2040 21.7% Target met after 2040
DR Congo 19.2% Target met after 2040 19.7% Target met after 2040
Ecuador 12.2% Target met after 2040 13.9% Target met after 2040
Egypt 23.8% Stagnating or deteriorating 31.5% Target met after 2040
El Salvador 13.1% Target met after 2040 15.1% Target met after 2040
Equatorial Guinea 21.3% Target met after 2040 22.6% Target met after 2040
Eritrea 22.7% Target met after 2040 25.3% Target met after 2040
Estonia 10.3% Target met by 2030 25.0% Target met by 2030
Ethiopia 18.0% Target met after 2040 18.7% Target met after 2040
Fiji 24.0% Target met after 2040 36.8% Target met after 2040
Finland 7.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 13.3% Target met by 2030
France 7.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 14.1% Target met 2031 – 2040
Gabon 13.9% Target met after 2040 14.9% Target met after 2040
Gambia 18.9% Target met after 2040 21.9% Target met after 2040
Georgia 15.9% Target met after 2040 34.9% Stagnating or deteriorating
Germany 8.9% Target met after 2040 15.2% Target met after 2040
Ghana 23.2% Stagnating or deteriorating 18.2% Stagnating or deteriorating
Greece 7.7% Target met 2031 – 2040 17.3% Target met after 2040
Grenada 17.3% Target met by 2030 25.5% Target met 2031 – 2040
Guatemala 15.0% Target met after 2040 14.9% Stagnating or deteriorating
Guinea 22.9% Target met after 2040 21.8% Target met after 2040
Guinea Bissau 19.9% Target met after 2040 20.2% Target met 2031 – 2040
Guyana 28.8% Target met after 2040 32.4% Stagnating or deteriorating
Haiti 25.0% Stagnating or deteriorating 28.2% Stagnating or deteriorating
Honduras 12.1% Target met after 2040 16.1% Stagnating or deteriorating
Hungary 15.6% Target met after 2040 31.1% Target met after 2040
Iceland 8.2% Stagnating or deteriorating 9.9% Target met by 2030
India 19.8% Target met after 2040 26.7% Target met after 2040
Indonesia 22.6% Target met after 2040 30.3% Target met after 2040
Iran 13.7% Target met by 2030 16.0% Target met by 2030
Iraq 18.3% Target met after 2040 24.6% Target met after 2040
Ireland 8.7% Target met after 2040 11.9% Target met by 2030
Israel 7.5% Target met after 2040 11.8% Target met after 2040
Italy 7.2% Target met after 2040 12.0% Target met 2031 – 2040
Jamaica 13.4% Target met after 2040 16.0% Target met after 2040
Japan 5.7% Target met 2031 – 2040 11.2% Target met by 2030
Jordan 15.6% Target met 2031 – 2040 22.8% Target met after 2040
Kazakhstan 18.5% Target met by 2030 36.8% Target met by 2030
Kenya 13.0% Stagnating or deteriorating 13.9% Stagnating or deteriorating
Kiribati 22.9% Target met after 2040 34.4% Target met after 2040
Kuwait 14.7% Target met by 2030 19.1% Target met 2031 – 2040
Kyrgyzstan 17.3% Target met 2031 – 2040 33.4% Target met after 2040
Lao PDR 24.9% Target met after 2040 29.3% Target met after 2040
Latvia 13.4% Target met by 2030 32.0% Target met by 2030
Lebanon 15.2% Target met after 2040 20.3% Target met after 2040
Lesotho 25.2% Target met after 2040 28.7% Stagnating or deteriorating
Liberia 17.7% Target met after 2040 17.5% Target met after 2040
Libya 15.9% Target met after 2040 24.4% Target met after 2040
Lithuania 12.4% Target met 2031 – 2040 30.6% Target met 2031 – 2040
Luxembourg 7.7% Target met by 2030 12.2% Target met by 2030
Macedonia (TFYR) 15.4% Target met by 2030 25.3% Target met by 2030
Madagascar 21.5% Target met after 2040 24.5% Target met after 2040
Malawi 14.5% Target met after 2040 18.8% Target met after 2040
Malaysia 14.0% Target met after 2040 20.1% Target met after 2040
Maldives 10.3% Target met by 2030 16.2% Target met by 2030
Mali 26.2% Target met after 2040 22.6% Target met after 2040
Malta 8.0% Target met 2031 – 2040 13.6% Target met after 2040
Mauritania 18.0% Stagnating or deteriorating 18.3% Stagnating or deteriorating
Mauritius 17.5% Target met after 2040 27.8% Target met after 2040
Mexico 14.1% Target met after 2040 17.4% Stagnating or deteriorating
Micronesia (Federated States of) 23.1% Target met after 2040 29.0% Stagnating or deteriorating
Moldova 17.3% Target met by 2030 33.7% Target met after 2040
Mongolia 21.9% Target met 2031 – 2040 38.8% Target met after 2040
Montenegro 14.9% Target met 2031 – 2040 26.4% Target met 2031 – 2040
Morocco 11.3% Target met 2031 – 2040 13.3% Target met 2031 – 2040
Mozambique 17.4% Target met 2031 – 2040 19.6% Target met 2031 – 2040
Myanmar 21.5% Target met after 2040 27.3% Target met after 2040
Namibia 18.7% Target met 2031 – 2040 24.7% Target met after 2040
Nepal 19.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 24.8% Target met after 2040
Netherlands 9.7% Target met 2031 – 2040 12.7% Target met by 2030
New Zealand 8.6% Target met by 2030 11.6% Target met by 2030
Nicaragua 13.7% Target met 2031 – 2040 14.8% Target met after 2040
Niger 19.8% Target met after 2040 20.1% Target met after 2040
Nigeria 23.9% Target met after 2040 20.9% Target met after 2040
North Korea 17.6% Target met 2031 – 2040 34.4% Target met after 2040
Norway 7.7% Target met by 2030 10.7% Target met by 2030
Occupied Palestinian Territory 18.4% Target met after 2040 26.3% Target met after 2040
Oman 15.5% Target met by 2030 19.4% Target met 2031 – 2040
Pakistan 22.6% Target met after 2040 26.6% Target met after 2040
Panama 10.8% Target met after 2040 15.4% Target met after 2040
Papua New Guinea 26.6% Stagnating or deteriorating 33.6% Stagnating or deteriorating
Paraguay 16.3% Target met after 2040 18.7% Target met after 2040
Peru 11.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 14.1% Target met after 2040
Philippines 21.0% Target met after 2040 32.8% Target met after 2040
Poland 12.4% Target met after 2040 25.3% Target met 2031 – 2040
Portugal 7.0% Target met 2031 – 2040 15.5% Target met 2031 – 2040
Puerto Rico 9.5% Target met 2031 – 2040 16.3% Target met after 2040
Qatar 13.7% Target met by 2030 16.0% Target met after 2040
Romania 13.9% Target met 2031 – 2040 29.3% Target met after 2040
Russian Federation 16.1% Target met by 2030 36.5% Target met by 2030
Rwanda 17.0% Target met after 2040 19.6% Target met after 2040
Saint Lucia 16.9% Target met after 2040 20.7% Target met after 2040
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 19.1% Target met 2031 – 2040 27.1% Stagnating or deteriorating
Samoa 14.7% Target met by 2030 26.1% Target met 2031 – 2040
Sao Tome and Principe 18.6% Target met after 2040 18.7% Stagnating or deteriorating
Saudi Arabia 14.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 17.8% Target met 2031 – 2040
Senegal 17.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 19.2% Target met after 2040
Serbia 13.7% Target met by 2030 24.6% Target met 2031 – 2040
Seychelles 13.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 28.7% Target met after 2040
Sierra Leone 32.6% Target met after 2040 28.2% Target met after 2040
Singapore 6.9% Target met by 2030 11.8% Target met by 2030
Slovakia 11.2% Target met by 2030 23.6% Target met by 2030
Slovenia 8.9% Target met after 2040 16.4% Target met 2031 – 2040
Solomon Islands 21.4% Target met 2031 – 2040 26.1% Target met after 2040
Somalia 22.0% Target met after 2040 21.7% Stagnating or deteriorating
South Africa 21.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 32.3% Target met after 2040
South Korea 4.7% Target met by 2030 10.9% Target met by 2030
South Sudan 19.5% Stagnating or deteriorating 20.0% Target met after 2040
Spain 6.4% Target met after 2040 13.6% Target met 2031 – 2040
Sri Lanka 13.2% Stagnating or deteriorating 22.1% Target met after 2040
Sudan 24.3% Target met after 2040 27.8% Target met after 2040
Suriname 17.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 26.4% Target met after 2040
Swaziland 24.4% Stagnating or deteriorating 29.8% Stagnating or deteriorating
Sweden 7.6% Target met 2031 – 2040 10.7% Target met by 2030
Switzerland 6.6% Target met 2031 – 2040 10.6% Target met by 2030
Syrian Arab Republic 18.7% Target met after 2040 24.9% Target met after 2040
Taiwan 9.0% Target met after 2040 17.6% Target met 2031 – 2040
Tajikistan 22.0% Target met after 2040 28.6% Target met after 2040
Tanzania 17.4% Target met after 2040 18.5% Stagnating or deteriorating
Thailand 11.0% Target met by 2030 18.3% Target met after 2040
Timor-Leste 18.0% Target met by 2030 21.7% Target met by 2030
Togo 23.1% Target met after 2040 24.1% Target met after 2040
Tonga 17.5% Target met after 2040 29.7% Target met after 2040
Trinidad and Tobago 18.0% Target met 2031 – 2040 24.6% Target met 2031 – 2040
Tunisia 12.2% Target met after 2040 20.2% Target met 2031 – 2040
Turkey 11.3% Target met 2031 – 2040 21.5% Target met 2031 – 2040
Turkmenistan 22.9% Target met after 2040 36.7% Stagnating or deteriorating
Uganda 20.3% Target met after 2040 23.8% Target met after 2040
Ukraine 16.2% Target met by 2030 35.1% Target met 2031 – 2040
United Arab Emirates 15.5% Target met 2031 – 2040 17.3% Target met after 2040
United Kingdom 9.0% Target met 2031 – 2040 12.9% Target met 2031 – 2040
United States of America 11.8% Stagnating or deteriorating 17.5% Target met after 2040
Uruguay 12.5% Stagnating or deteriorating 21.4% Target met 2031 – 2040
Uzbekistan 19.6% Target met 2031 – 2040 29.7% Target met after 2040
Vanuatu 19.2% Target met 2031 – 2040 27.2% Target met after 2040
Venezuela 14.5% Target met after 2040 21.8% Target met after 2040
Viet Nam 11.5% Target met after 2040 23.4% Target met after 2040
Yemen 28.2% Target met after 2040 33.2% Target met after 2040
Zambia 17.4% Target met by 2030 18.5% Target met after 2040
Zimbabwe 19.8% Target met 2031 – 2040 18.7% Target met 2031 – 2040



Source link